The CDC has estimated that Americans that have or had COVID-19 is 10x to 20x greater than the number of people who have tested positive, this data is huge and will help you to understand what I'm about to say
1) With respect to the death rate, we shut down the country because the death rate was projected to be 5% or more. This meant that millions of American were going to die. We now know that the death rate is a small fraction of original projections. We also know certain demographics, elderly and compromised, are far more likely to die, meaning most of america is not at risk. We would NOT have shut down the country if we knew then what we know now about the death rates (this last statement is my opinion).
2) Because we expanded testing and have now tested millions more people than anyone else, we're going to have more positive tests. More on this to follow
3) Because we're now doing antibody tests, we're learning about people who HAD the virus but don't test positive today. Our daily numbers for "new cases" include these people that aren't really a "new case". In some circumstances, a person can be counted twice or multiple times. If they tested positive for COVID-19 in March and now went for an antibody test and tested positive again, that's two cases for the time being. Kinda like voting multiple times, just different.
4) Now to the point of my thread. Since we know millions of Americans have or had COVID-19 and never knew they have or had it, IT'S TOTALLY EXPECTED THAT NEW CASES WILL SURGE AS WE CONTINUE TO TEST MORE. That means NOTHING. What will be important is if the CDC were to increase their estimates about unknown cases from 10x to 20x more than known cases to say 30x or 50x greater than known cases. Until that happens, the increases in positive cases and antibody positives mean NOTHING.
Our media and their parrots will never tell you this. I don't expect to forum simpletons to agree, they are who they are. But I think since they start multiple news for fools threads per day, I'd try to bring a little balance and substance into the house.
Our media is constantly moving the goal posts, and doing such for political gain. You can't change a tiger's stripes. However, you can think for yourself
1) With respect to the death rate, we shut down the country because the death rate was projected to be 5% or more. This meant that millions of American were going to die. We now know that the death rate is a small fraction of original projections. We also know certain demographics, elderly and compromised, are far more likely to die, meaning most of america is not at risk. We would NOT have shut down the country if we knew then what we know now about the death rates (this last statement is my opinion).
2) Because we expanded testing and have now tested millions more people than anyone else, we're going to have more positive tests. More on this to follow
3) Because we're now doing antibody tests, we're learning about people who HAD the virus but don't test positive today. Our daily numbers for "new cases" include these people that aren't really a "new case". In some circumstances, a person can be counted twice or multiple times. If they tested positive for COVID-19 in March and now went for an antibody test and tested positive again, that's two cases for the time being. Kinda like voting multiple times, just different.
4) Now to the point of my thread. Since we know millions of Americans have or had COVID-19 and never knew they have or had it, IT'S TOTALLY EXPECTED THAT NEW CASES WILL SURGE AS WE CONTINUE TO TEST MORE. That means NOTHING. What will be important is if the CDC were to increase their estimates about unknown cases from 10x to 20x more than known cases to say 30x or 50x greater than known cases. Until that happens, the increases in positive cases and antibody positives mean NOTHING.
Our media and their parrots will never tell you this. I don't expect to forum simpletons to agree, they are who they are. But I think since they start multiple news for fools threads per day, I'd try to bring a little balance and substance into the house.
Our media is constantly moving the goal posts, and doing such for political gain. You can't change a tiger's stripes. However, you can think for yourself
